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SEPT 7 

LOOK FOR A BOUNCE ON MONDAY SEPT 8TH FOLLOWED BY A DECLINE INTO SEPT 15TH , 17 TH 

JUNE 4 2008

THIS CYCLE IS NOW BOTTOMING , LOOK FOR A RISE IN THE STOCK MARKET 

INTO JUNE 18TH 20TH 

APRIL 5TH 

THERE IS A FEW MIXED SIGNALS GOING INTO THIS NEXT CYCLE PEAK WHICH IS DUE 

APRIL 17TH - 21ST . THE FIRST ONE IMPLIING A SHORT TERM TOP AS EARLY AS 

APRIL 15 16TH . ALSO THERE IS A VERY SHORT TERM PEAK RIGHT NOW INTO APRIL 10TH 11TH

THIS LEAVES THE OVERALL TRADING ACTIVITY A BIT CHOPPY AND SLUGGISH LOOKING .

THE DECLINE FROM MID APRIL INTO EARLY MAY MIGHT BE A BIT STEEP , THE RALLY OUT OF IT 

THOUGH IMPLIES SOMETHING MUCH STRONGER THEN WHAT WE HAVE BEEN SEEING FOR 

THE YEAR SO FAR . ( THIS WILL BE TRICKY TO GET ALL CORRECT )

SHORT TERM SUPPORT SITS AT 1326  TO 1313 , SHORT TERM RESISTANCE SITS AT 1395-1400

LOWER SUPPORT AT 1277 SHOULD BE BOUGHT AND HELD ( IF SEEN ) 

MARCH 8

WE ARE NOW INTO A SHORT TERM CYCLE LOW 

LOOK FOR HIGHER PRICES INTO MARCH 21 24TH 

FEB 29

LOOK FOR A CYCLE LOW MID DAY THURSDAY INTO THE OPEN ON FRIDAY 

THE NEXT CYCLE PEAK COMES IN MARCH 21-24TH 

GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR THE MKT TO EXPERIENCE A MINI CRASH NEXT WEEK PLACE ORDERS

BELOW THE BID ON ANY OPTION ORDERS ( LOOK TO TRADE THE EXTREMES FOR ENTRIES )

ALSO IF YOUR LOOKING TO EXIT OUT OF ANY BEARISH POSITIONS PLACE YOUR ORDERS 

A BIT OUT THERE FOR STARTERS AND LET THE MKT COME YOUR WAY 

FEB 17

THE STOCK MARKET IS CLOSED MONDAY , THIS MODEL IS CALLING FOR A TOP 

TUESDAY FEB 19TH TO FEB 22 .

FEB 9TH 

GET READY FOR A RALLY INTO FEB 19-22 ND

UPSIDE PROJECTION IS TO 1443

JAN 5TH 

THIS INDEX IS ABOUT TO BLOW THROUGH ITS LAST MEANINGFUL SUPPORT AREA

TIMING SAYS LOOK FOR A RALLY .

MONDAY JAN 7TH IS IMPORTANT 

DEC 30 2007

THE CYCLE PEAK OF DEC 24 SHOULD HOLD FOR NOW 

THE NEXT CYCLE LOW IS DUE FROM JAN 7TH TO JAN 10 2008 

KEY SUPPORT SITS AT 1460.12

DEC 30

BRADLEY MODEL VERSUS ALCOA ( MONTHLY CHART ) FROM 2002 TO 2009

ALCOA MONTHLY BAR CHART 

ALCOA MONTHLY CLOSE ONLY CHART 

JUNE 12 , 2007

THE BEARISH CYCLE FROM JUNE 4 TH IS COMING TO AN END 

LOOK FOR HIGHER PRICES INTO THE END OF THE MONTH .

JUNE 2 

THERE IS A CYCLE TOP DUE LATE MONDAY THE NEXT CYCLE LOW IS DUE JUNE 15TH 

APRIL 29 

ANOTHER CYCLE TOP IS DUE IN THE COMING DAYS .

 THIS MODEL HAS HAD A LOT OF SUCCESS OVER THE YEARS YET THIS YEAR IT HAS HAD 

SEVERAL FAILURES

FEB 2 

THE NEXT CYCLE LOW IS DUE FEB 16-20TH

JAN 18 

KEEPING AN OPEN MIND A RALLY NOW WOULD FINALLY SET UP THE 2007 CYCLES

NOV 30 

NO INVERSION AS OF YET 

THIS IS HOW IT WILL LOOK WHEN IT COMES . LOOK FOR A HIGH NEAR TUESDAY DEC 5TH 

AND A LOW DEC 19TH 

NOV 10 2006

I THINK WE ARE SEEING AN INVERSION .

SHOWN BELOW IS THE INVERTED TIMING MODEL .

LOOK FOR A BOTTOM IN THE STOCK MKT IN WAVE C NOV 17TH -22ND 

SUPPORT SITS AT 1364 . WITH LOWER SUPPORT AT 1354 

OCT 29TH 

LOOK FOR A MOVE TO THE DOWNSIDE INTO NOV 3RD 8TH 

SUPPORT SITS A 1350  ( NOTE GAP )

OCT 12 

IM SHOWING 2 TIMING MODELS TODAY 

FIRST LETS GO TO THE SHORT TERM CYCLE , THIS CYCLE POINTS HIGHER INTO OCT 20TH - OCT 24TH 

THEN BACK DOWN INTO NOVEMBER 3RD NOV 8TH .

THIS IS A LONGER TERM CHART SO WE NEED TO KEEP AN OPEN VIEW AS THIS CAN BE UP TO SEVERAL

DAYS OFF , YET OVERALL THIS IS THE TREND I SEE COMING INTO NEXT YEAR THIS CHART IS OF THE 

DAILY DOW THIS CHART SAYS HIGHER INTO OCT 19TH THEN DOWN INTO NOV 13TH 14TH 

THEN A RALLY INTO EARLY JANUARY . THE WAVE COUNT AT THIS JUNCTURE IS WAVE III

WHAT IS NEEDED IS WAVE IV V ( 3 ) WAVE 4  ( 5 ) TOP . THIS TOP SHOULD BE IN BY JANUARY TO 

FEBRUARY 11 TH 2007 ( SEE CHART BELOW )

THIS CHART CALLS FOR A MOVE UP FROM JUNE 2006 TO FEB 11 TH 2007 THEN A MOVE DOWN INTO JULY 2007 

SEPT 27 

LOOK FOR LOWER MKT INTO OCT 9TH 

THIS INDEX APPEARS TO BE FURTHER SUBDIVIDING IN AN EXPANDING TRIANGLE

SEPT 24TH

LOOK FOR A LOW SEPT 6TH - 9TH 

SEPT 17TH 

MARKET IS TOPPING THIS WEEK , LOOK FOR A DECLINE INTO EARLY OCTOBER

AUG 18TH 

MARKET IS TOPPING NOW , LOOK FOR A DECLINE

AUG 10TH

THIS SHORT TERM MODEL IS NOW TURNING UP 

LOOK FOR A HIGH NEAR AUG 25TH 

JULY 11TH 

LOOK FOR A HIGH INTO JULY 24TH 

DUELING BRADLEY MODEL 

JULY 2ND 

LOOK FOR LOWER PRICES INTO JULY 11 TH 12TH 

JUNE 17TH 

LOOK FOR HIGHER PRICES INTO LATE JUNE EARLY JULY 

MAY 27TH 

A REVERSAL IS NOW DUE INTO MID JUNE , LOOK LOWER

MAY 21 

SHORT TERM THIS TIMING MODEL IS CALLING FOR A RALLY INTO MAY 23RD..

FROM MAY 26TH - MAY 31ST LOOK FOR A TOP . JUNE 2ND -JUNE 5TH SHOULD BE DOWN DAYS 

LOOK FOR A LOW JUNE 9TH-JUNE 14TH 

MARCH 2 2006

LOOK FOR LOWER PRICES INTO MARCH 10TH 

WATCH MARCH 7TH AND 8TH FOR A SHORT TERM LOW NEAR 1271 

AND WATCH MARCH 13-14TH FOR A SHORT TERM LOW NEAR 1265

TURN BULLISH ON THE LATER DATE IF IT IS A LOW 

VERY SHORT TERM MARCH 10TH IS LOOKING LIKE A TOP OF SORTS 

FEB 26TH 

START LOOKING FR SHORT TERM REVERSAL PATTERNS , WERE NOW INTO THE 

CYCLE TOP PERIOD WHICH BEGINS IN THE FIRST HOUR OF TRADING MONDAY 

FEB 19TH 2006 

THE PRIOR CALL OF A MOVE UP INTO FEB 15TH FOR A TOP SHOULD NOW ALLOW FOR 

AN EXTENSION OF TIME INTO FEB 27TH .

5 TRADING DAYS TO GO .

FOR TUESDAY EXPECT A MINOR PULLBACK TO ABOUT 1276 FOLLOWED BY A MOVE UP 

TO 1302 

CONSIDER 1300 AS THE RESISTANCE OF IMPORTANCE AND TURN BEARISH 

FEB 27TH  ON CLOSE 

JAN 20 2006 

LOOK FOR A LOW FROM JAN 27TH FOLLOWED BY A RALLY INTO 

FEB 9TH - 15TH .

SEE BELOW FOR LONGER TERM MODELS FOR 2006 AND PRIOR FORECASTS

LONGER TERM SWING DATES FOR 2006 BASED ON BRADLEY MODEL 

JAN 30, 2006 

MY LONGER TERM TIMING MODEL FROM JAN TO JUNE 2006 

( THE LARGEST MOVE HERE IS FROM LATE MARCH TO MID JUNE )

OVERALL DIRECTIONAL BIAS IS BEARISH INTO MID JUNE AT THE EARLIEST 

THIS SHOULD BE USED AS A GUIDELINE. I TRY TO MAKE THESE VERY ACCURATE YET 

AS WITH ANY TRADING STRATEGY PLEASE USE CAUTION AND MONEY MANAGEMENT BEFORE 

TRADING  

DEC 30 2005

SEE PRIOR FORECASTS BELOW 

LOOK FOR A RALLY INTO JANUARY 13TH - 16TH FROM FRIDAY DEC 30TH MONDAY JAN 2

DEC 18 2005

UNLESS THIS IS ABOUT TO INVERT ( SEE INDICATORS ) I HAVE TO BE VERY CONCERNED OF A DECLINE 

COMING SHORT TERM . BASED ON THIS MODEL ( SEE PRIOR BELOW ) WE SHOULD BE ABOUT TO SEE 

A DECLINE IN THE STOCK MARKET . LOOK FOR LOWER PRICES INTO DEC 30TH .

PRIOR FORECASTS 

NOV 29TH 

SHORT TERM BOTTOMING 

THIS IS A 15 MINUTE CHART , LOOK FOR A LOW AND A REVERSAL BACK UP FROM 0800 FRIDAY .

LONGER TERM CHART BELOW THIS 

NOV 29TH 

LOOK FOR A TOP AND TURN BEAR , DEC 9TH TO DEC 15TH 

NOV 7TH 

THIS INDEX IS PUTTING IN A MAJOR TOP . IT SHOULD BE COMPLETE IN THE COMING DAYS .

OCT 26TH 

THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE CRITICAL LOOK FOR HIGHER PRICES 

WATCH 1185 AS SUPPORT , 1220 IS THE TARGET FOR NOW INTO NOV 2ND 

A GOOD TIME TO EXIT AND LOOK FOR LOWER PRICES IS FROM OCT 31 ON CLOSE

NOV 15TH -16TH IS THE NEXT TURN DATE FROM HERE AND MIGHT BE THE TOP 

YET WE SHOULD BE ON GUARD FOR A REVERSAL DOWN FROM OCT 31 ON CLOSE

OCT  11TH /24TH

THIS MARKET IS NOW COMING INTO A LOW . IDEAL LOW IS OCT 14TH TO 17TH , WATCH THE 18TH 

WEDNESDAY OCT 19TH NEEDS TO BE AN UP DAY !!!!!

THE TREND SHOULD BE CHANGING NOW

THE MOVE HIGHER ON OCT 19TH GIVES US THE NEXT CYCLE LOW RIGHT HERE 

MONDAY OCT 24TH SHOULD NOW BE THE EARLY STAGES OF WAVE 2 OF WAVE 2 UP .

SEE WEEKLY UPDATE FOR DETAILS

UPDATED EARLY SEPT 19 

THIS ALLOWS FOR A TOP ON TUESDAY YET EVERYTHING IS SAYING BE BEARISH NOW 

UPDATED THURSDAY SEPT 15 

WATCH OUT FOR A MOVE TO THE UPSIDE ON FRIDAY , IF THIS HAPPENS TURN BEARISH 

MONDAYS CLOSE OR TUESDAY OPEN AND LOOK FOR A LOW INTO LATE SEPT EARLY OCT 

IDEAL OCT 3RD - 4TH IS A LOW . I REMAIN BEARISH THE SPX INDEX 

THIS IS A DIRECTIONAL BIAS MORE SO THEN A PRICE BIAS .

UPDATED SEPT 3 , 2005 

WHILE ALL OF MY TIMING WORK IS CALLING FOR A TOP RIGHT NOW . I HAVE A COUPLE CONCERNS 

ABOUT THIS TAKING A BIT LONGER TO PLAY OUT . AS USUAL THE MKT MAKES US WAIT . THE LONG TERM 

MODEL IS NOW POINTING HARD DOWN . A CONTINUED RALLY FROM EARLY SEPT 6TH INTO THE 19TH 

WOULD CREATE A MORE BEARISH OUTLOOK . THIS MOVE CAN BE A FINAL 5TH WAVE UP AS OIL PRICES 

DECLINE OR IT CAN BE JUST A C WAVE UP . KEY HERE IS TUESDAYS LOWS . THE KEY LEVEL 1211.20 

IF THE MARKET CAN MANAGE A RALLY NEXT WEEK THEN LOOK TO TURN AGGRESSIVELY BEARISH 

FROM SEPT 19TH TO THE 21ST .  THIS CYCLE WOULD CALL FOR A LOW IN EARLY OCTOBER . 

YET AGAIN I REMAIN BEARISH INTO EARLY NOVEMBER . 

SEE CYCLES AND MARKET CYCLES BELOW THIS CHART . 

LAST NOTE , REGARDLESS OF THE SHORT TERM I AM BEARISH . 

UPDATEDE CHART BELOW THIS ONE TO REFLECT MKT ACTION SINCE THIS FORECAST

THIS CHART WAS ADJUSTED AS THE 9/5 DATE WAS LABOR DAY AND THE STOCK MKT WAS CLOSED .

I USE THIS CHART FOR TIMING MAINLY AND DIRECTION ON THE MKT . NOTICE HOW THE OVER ALL 

PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THE FORECAST ????? . THIS ADDS CONFIDANCE TO NEXT WEEK BEING A TOP 

AND OCT 3RD 4TH BEING A LOW  . 

CYCLES ARE JUST THAT CYCLES , THEY DON'T ALWAYS WORK YET I HAVE A HIGH REGARD FOR THEM 

THIS IS A COMPLEX MATHEMATICAL MODEL IN ALL , TO CREATE A 4 MONTH FORMAT FOR THIS LAST QUARTER

OF 2005 I HAD TO GO THROUGH 3750 CALCULATIONS . THIS IS TIME CONSUMING AND I REALIZE NUTS 

BUT THEY ARE EXACT . IT IS JUST A MATTER OF WEATHER THE MKT WANTS TO CATER TO IT .

NOTICE THE TURN DATES . TOPS OR BOTTOMS IN THE MKT I DON'T CARE . JUST TRADE THE OPPOSITE 

THIS IS THE MOST IDEAL SET UP FOR THE CRASH THEORY I HAVE NOTED ALL YEAR  

THE MAJOR QUESTION IS WHAT IS THE DIRECTION . THE CHART ABOVE DOES SHOW A SMALL 5 WAVE MOVE 

UP . SO THAT IS THE KEY . A BREAK BELOW THE AUG 30TH LOWS WOULD IMPLY A DOWN MKT INTO 

MID MONTH . NEXT CHART BELOW IS THE MKT CYCLES CHART . AND THAT LEADS US TO A FEW CONCLUSIONS 

KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS IS A CALENDAR DAY CHART 

FOCUSING ON MARKET TIMING IS MY GOAL . MY TIMING MODELS ARE MATHEMATICAL . I DO REALIZE THE PROBLEM 

WITH BEING HUNG UP ON A DATE . BUT IT IS WHERE I CHOOSE TO TRADE MY MONEY . THE KEY DATES .

OCT 4TH IS A KEY DATE AND A MARKET 118 TRADING DAY CYCLE LOW . THE KEY IS FIGURING OUT HOW WE GET THERE 

HERE IS THE CHART SINCE NOV 2003 . ALMOST 2 YRS THIS HAS BEEN WORKING . 

THIS CHART IS SCREAMING LOOK OUT BELOW . 

PRIOR OUTLOOK , SOMETHING IS CHANGING 

SEPTEMBER IS EXPECTED . 

NOTE AUG 24TH IS ALSO A FIBONACCI TURN DATE . 

LONGER TERM CYCLE CALL FOR A TOP AUG 30TH ,

THIS MODEL IS STILL NOT FINISHED YET . AND SO FAR THE TURN DATES HAVE BEEN GOOD BUT THE DIRECTION 

HAS BEEN COMPLETELY OPPOSITE OF WHAT THE MKT DID . IL WORK ON THIS SOME MORE , UNTILL THEN 

ILL STICK TO THE SHORTER TERM MKT CALLS AS THEY ARE CURRENTLY MORE ACCURATE . 

PRIOR

MIXED MKT FOR TUESDAY .

SHORT TERM

UP TREND SHOULD CONTINUE INTO MAY 10 TH 

PRIOR FORECASTS

BOTTOMING ( LONGER TERM UPDATED BELOW )

PRIOR OUTLOOK

THIS WEEK IS A BOTTOMING WEEK START WATCHING FOR IMPORTANT SUPPORT AREAS TO GO LONG THE MARKET.. IM LOOKING FOR A HIGH IN EARLY SEPTEMBER

LONGER TERM CYCLES ARE POINTING DOWN  ( NOTE this goes out to 2007 )

SEE UPDATED BELOW THIS CHART 

KEY DAYS ARE 

JUNE 14TH AND JUNE 29TH THEN JULY 15TH AND AUG 11TH AND AUG 30-SEPT 3RD

This page is is based on a model that has been fairly accurate . yet we should all use caution and make our investment decisions as well as do our own research . people can and do loose money trading these indexes. This model may NOT always work as PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS