CRASH OF 2008, MARKET TURN DATES,stock timing 2009

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PLEASE EXCUSE THE SPELLING IM STILL WORKING ON THIS AND JUST POSTING AS I GO

THIS PAGE WILL LIKELY BE QUITE HUGE BY THE TIME IM DONE

STOCK MARKET CRASHES ARE RARE . AND ACCURATELY PREDICTING THEM IS EVEN RARER.

THIS PAGE IS DEDICATED TO MARKET CRASH CYCLES .

ILL BEGIN WITH A FEW LINKS AS THE BASIS OF THIS INFORMATION WAS NOT MY OWN

AUTUMN PANICS

58 YEAR PANIC CYCLE

PUETZ WINDOW

WHAT AMAZES ME , MANY PEOPLE TAKE A THEORY AND THEN BECAUSE OF IT'S NEW FOUND

FAME , ATTEMPT TO MAKE IT WORK EACH YEAR . OR THEY TRY TO REFINE IT TO FIND OUT

IF THERE THEORY CAN BE EXPANDED FOR MULTI YEAR TRENDS . ONCE THEY DO THIS

THE BASIS OF THERE INITIAL RESEARCH IS LOST . I HAVE NO INTENTION OF TRYING TO CHANGE

THIS OR AMENDING IT . MY ONLY GOAL IS TO LOCATE A COUPLE OF BEARISH WINDOWS

BY DIGGING INTO THE WORKS OF BOTH CHRIS CAROLAN AND STEVE PUETZ IN ORDER TO

FIND SOMETHING THEY HAVE EITHER MISSED OR NOT MENTIONED . SINCE I HAVE NEVER SUBSCRIBED TO EITHER OF THERE NEWSLETTERS IM LEAVING IT OPEN .

I RECOMMEND READING THROUGH THE LINKS ABOVE TO GRASP WHERE I AM GOING WITH THIS .

FIRST THINGS FIRST , THESE CRASH WINDOWS ARE NOT ALWAYS DOWN MOVES IN STOCKS

MANY TIMES THESE WINDOWS MARK GREAT TURNING POINTS .

A GOOD EXAMPLE OF THE TURN WINDOWS I SHOW BELOW .

ILL BEGIN WITH THE THEORY UNDER THE PUETZ WINDOW . LETS SEE HOW ACCURATE IT HAS

BEEN FOR CALLING MARKET TURNING POINTS . I CALL THESE TURNING POINTS BECAUSE THAT

IS REALLY HOW I SEE THEM .

UNDER THE PUETZ WINDOW THEORY THIS IS WHAT YOU LOOK FOR .

THE MARKET WILL BE AT A ( TURNING ) HIGH POINT ON THE FIRST FULL MOON FOLLOWING A SOLAR ECLIPSE WHEN THAT FULL MOON IS ALSO A LUNAR ECLIPSE . FROM THIS FULL MOON /LUNAR ECLIPSE CYCLE PEAK A ( TREND CHANGE WILL BEGIN ) DOWN TREND WILL BEGIN AND IT WILL END 6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER A FULL MOON THAT IS WITH IN 6 WEEKS OF THE SOLAR ECLIPSE .

I PLACED MY TAKE ON THIS IN RED . WERE LOOKING FOR A TREND CHANGE .

LINKS FOR REFERENCE :

MOON PHASES

SOLAR ECLIPSE

LUNAR ECLIPSE

SO WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR ??? HOW HARD IS IT TO FIND ???

FIRST WE ARE LOOKING FOR A LUNAR ECLIPSE FULL MOON . WHY ??? WE UNDER THIS THEORY

WE NEED THE 1ST FULL MOON FOLLOWING A SOLAR ECLIPSE WHEN THAT FULL MOON IS ALSO

A LUNAR ECLIPSE . SO THE FIRST THING TO FIND IS THE LUNAR ECLIPSE FULL MOON . THEN WE GO

BACKWARDS . TO BEGIN WITH IM GOING TO PICK SOME ODD DATE AS ANYONE CAN FIND THE

1987 CRASH OR A SIGNIFICANT EVENT AND THEN BASE A THEORY AROUND IT . BUT LETS SEE HOW

THIS THEORY HAS WORKED OVERALL SO I CLICK THE LINK OF LUNAR ECLIPSES AND SEE WHAT DATES SHOW UP IN AN ODD YEAR . LETS PICK THE YR 1975 ???? SEE IF ANYTHING SHOWS UP .

THIS IS WHAT I SEE FOR 1975 :

CLICK ON THIS PICTURE IF YOU WANT TO SEE FOR YOURSELF .

NOW WE LOOK UP THE FULL MOONS FOR THAT TIME PERIOD . LETS SEE WHAT SHOWS UP .

THIS IS WHAT WE SEE .

SAME THING HERE CLICK ON PICTURE IF U WANT TO SEE THE DATA

NEXT IS SOLAR ECLIPSE . SO WE LOOK THAT UP , LETS SEE WHAT SHOWS UP .

NOTICE IM SHOWING A WIDER RANGE HERE . THIS IS TO GIVE ME SOME ROOM TO SEE

IF THERE IS ANY THING WHICH FITS THE PARAMETERS , IT JUST MAKES IT EASIER AND FASTER

CLICK ON PICTURE FOR THE DATA .

OK SO HERE IS ALL THE DATA .

WHAT DO WE HAVE HERE .

FULL MOONS IN MAY 1975 ARE

MAY 25TH FULL MOON

MAY 25TH LUNAR ECLIPSE ( SO FAR FITTING THE PARAMETERS )

MAY 11 SOLAR ECLIPSE

AND NOV 3RD SOLAR ECLIPSE .

LETS BEGIN WITH MAY AND THEN THE NOVEMBER TIME FRAME FOR THIS STUDY .

WE ARE LOOKING FOR TE 1ST FULL MOON FOLLOWING A SOLAR ECLIPSE WHEN THAT FULL

MOON IS ALSO A LUNAR ECLIPSE .

REFRESH ON THEORY :

LETS PUT THIS TOGETHER AND THEN PUT IT ON A CHART TO SEE WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE .

THE MKT WILL BE AT A TURNING POINT ON THE FIRST FULL MOON FOLLOWING A SOLAR ECLIPSE

MAY 11TH WAS THE SOLAR ECLIPSE . AND MAY 25TH IS THE FIRST FULL MOON FOLLOWING THE

SOLAR ECLIPSE AND IT IS ALSO A LUNAR ECLIPSE . SO MAY 25TH 1975 SHOULD BE A TURNING POINT

IN THE MARKET . AND FROM THIS MAY 25TH TURNING POINT THE MKT SHOULD CHANGE DIRECTION

AND MOVE UNTIL 6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER THE FULL MOON THAT IS WITH IN 6 WEEKS

OF THE SOLAR ECLIPSE . LOOKS LIKE WE FORGOT TO INCLUDE 1 LAST PEACE OF THE PUZZLE .

WHEN IS 6 WEEKS FROM THE SOLAR ECLIPSE WHICH BEGAN ON MAY 11TH 1975 ??

IF WE GO BACK UP TO CHART OF MOON PHASES ABOVE YOU WILL SEE THAT MAY 11TH WAS ALSO

A NEW MOON . 6 WEEKS FROM MAY 11TH , LETS KEEP IT SIMPLE JUNE 11TH IS 4 WEEKS SO END OF JUNE IS ROUGHLY 6 WEEKS . WE CAN GET EVER CLOSER YET LETS LOOK FOR A FULL MOON THAT FALLS INTO THESE PARAMETERS . WHERE IS THE FULL MOON FROM AROUND THE END OF JUNE 1975

JUNE 23RD . IS FULL MOON ROUGHLY 6 WEEKS FROM MAY 11TH . YES I REALIZE THIS IS CONFUSING

SO NOW LETS ADD IT UP AGAIN

FROM THE FIRST FULL MOON FOLLOWING THE SOLAR ECLIPSE ON MAY 11TH

THAT IS MAY 25TH ( FULL MOON /LUNAR ECLIPSE )

WE ARE LOOKING FOR A MOVE IN THE MKT INTO 6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER JUNE 23RD .

MAKING IT EVEN MORE SIMPLE .

THE TRADE IS PLACED ON MAY 25TH

AND WE INTEND TO EXIT JUNE 20TH TO JUNE 26TH .

NOW LETS LOOK AT THE MAY 25TH TO JUNE 20TH TO 26TH TIMEFRAME OF 1975 .

MAY SOUND UNBELIEVABLE BUT I HAVE NOT EVEN DONE THIS FOR THESE DATES EVER .

IT IS MY INTENSION TO SEE THE ACCURACY OF THIS THEORY , SO IT IS JUST RESEARCH .

SINCE MY DATA PROVIDER DOES NOT GIVE ME DAILY CHARTS THIS FAR BACK

IM USING A WEEKLY CHART OF THE NYSE COMPOSITE INDEX ALSO KNOWN AS THE

SYMBOL $NYA . IT IS A BROAD MKT INDEX OF THE OVERALL STOCK MARKET . ILL

USE THE DOW FOR CHART PAST 1986

OK SO HERE IS WHAT THIS LOOKS LIKE

A 35 POINT UP MOVE FROM THIS WINDOW , NOT BEARISH AT ALL

AND THE GAIN WAS 7 PERCENT UP . NOT A BAD MOVE FOR A 6 WEEK TRADE

IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOT HERE THE DROP THAT FOLLOWED

BUT THE RESEARCH IS ONLY ON THE THEORY SO WERE ONLY TRADING THE TIME PERIODS

LETS CHECK OUT THE NOVEMBER TIME FRAME

THEORY REFRESHER::

LUNAR ECLIPSE NOVEMBER 18TH

FULL MOON NOVEMBER 18TH

SOLAR ECLIPSE NOVEMBER 3RD

DEC 18TH IS FULL MOON WITH IN 6 WEEKS OF NOV 3RD ( SOLAR ECLIPSE DATE )

DEC 13TH TO DEC 21ST IS 6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER .

SO HERE IT IS AGAIN

ON NOVEMBER 18TH WERE LOOKING FOR A MOVE LASTING

INTO DEC 13TH TO DEC 21ST

FROM TOP TO BOTTOM

511 TO 484 27 PTS = 5 PERCENT DOWN

HERE THE THE MARKET SHOWING EVERYTHING INCLUDING THE 2 CYCLES

WHAT I AM REALLY LOOK FOR HERE IS A CONSISTENT SET UP . EITHER BULLISH OR BEARISH

AND IF WE CAN FIND THAT CONSISTENCY THEN WE WILL HAVE A SPECIFIC TIME FRAME

WHERE WE'LL BE MORE AGGRESSIVE THEN NORMALLY AS WE'LL HAVE ODDS IN OUR FAVOR

ALSO WE WILL HAVE A SPECIFIED TIME FRAME FOR EACH TRADE . WE WILL ENTER AND AND EXIT

WITH IN THE THEORY . FOR 1975 THIS WOULD HAVE BEEN A 12 PERCENT OVER ALL GAIN . ( IN MARKET TERMS )

NOT BAD CONSIDERING THE MARKET BACK THEN .

SO NOW LETS DO SOMETHING A LITTLE DIFFERENT .

LETS LOOK BACK AT THESE SOLAR ECLIPSE AND LUNAR ECLIPSE CYCLES AGAIN FOR 1975 .

THE LUNAR ECLIPSE

THE SOLAR ECLIPSE

THIS IS WHERE I AM ON MY OWN THEORY HERE RELATING TO THESE THEORIES. MAYBE THESE GUYS

HAVE NOTICED THIS YET I HAVE NOT BEEN A SUBSCRIBER SO I HONESTLY DON'T KNOW IF THEY REALIZE THIS

OR NOT . CHRIS CAROLAN HAS CONTINUED TO EXPAND AND REFINE HIS WORK YET FROM WHAT I HAVE

READ ABOUT THE PUETZ WINDOW I FIND IT VERY HARD TO FIND ANY DATA . SO I AM UNDER THE ASSUMPTION

THAT WHAT I AM ONTO MAYBE SOMETHING NEW . WEATHER IT IS OR NOT I HONESTLY DON'T KNOW .

HERE IS A TAKE FROM THE ECLIPSE LINK

BUT THERE IS SOMETHING ELSE TO THIS AND THAT IS WHY THIS STUDY HAS ME SO ABSORBED

WHAT IS NOTED ALSO IS THERE IS A REOCCURRING 18 YR CYCLE .

IN ORDER TO UNDERSTAND THIS WE NEED TO LOOK AT THE SAROS NUMBER ATTACHED TO THE ECLIPSE.

LETS GO BACK TO 1975 AS WERE TAKING THIS EXAMPLE TO THE NEXT CYCLE , IN DOING SO WE CAN EITHER CONCLUDE

WERE ONTO SOMETHING OR DISREGARD IT .

SO ILL SHOW BOTH CYCLES .

1975 AND 18 YRS LATER WHICH IS 1993 .

HERE IS WHAT IM TALKING ABOUT .

THESE ARE THE SAME EXACT CYCLES

THE QUESTION IS WILL THEY GIVE US CLUES TO THE MARKET ??

SO LETS JUST TAKE A SIMPLE CHART COMPARISON OF THE 1975 TIME FRAME AND THE 1993 TIME FRAME

AND SEE IF THERE IS ANY CORRELATION TO THE 2 TIME PERIODS .

AGAIN IM SHOWING THE $ NYA INDEX AS MY DATA ON THE DOW OR SPX ONLY GO BACK TO 1986

FIRST WE DO A SIMPLE COMPARISON THEN WE ADD THE ECLIPSE CYCLES TO SEE IF THE HIGHS

OR LOWS ARE IN SYNC WITH THE PREVIOUS CYCLE 18 YEAR APART

IN ORDER TO SHOW THIS SOME OF THE NOTES FROM THE ORIGINAL IN 1975 WILL BE HARD TO READ YET

LETS SEE WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE .

WHILE I SEE SIMILARITIES I ALSO SEE OPPOSITES .

SO FAR THE ONLY CONSISTENCY IS THE SOLAR ECLIPSE MARKS A REVERSAL

AND THE LUNAR ECLIPSE MARKS ANOTHER REVERSAL

IN THE FIRST EXAMPLE WE MADE MONEY IN THE 2ND EXAMPLE WE BROKE EVEN OR LOST MONEY .

THIS TELLS ME THAT THIS SAROS CYCLE IS AN INCONSISTENT CYCLE

SO NOW LETS PICK A DIFFERENT CYCLE PERIOD

ONLY THIS TIME IM GOING TO USE A 2 YEAR PERIOD 1981 1982

AND ILL COMPARE IT TO 1999 2000 . I WANT TO SEE IF WE GET THE SIMILAR OR OPPOSITE AND AGAIN

WERE LOOKING FOR CONSISTENCY . THE ONLY THIS CONSISTENT SO FAR IT THE TURNS , THE TREND

SO FAR IS ONLY SHORT TERM ON THESE

ILL BEGIN WITH THE 1981 1982 CHART COMPARED TO THE 1999 2000 CHART

THESE WILL BE THE SAME SAROS CYCLES

THE TIME PERIOD IS LATE 1980 TO THE END OF 1982

NOT IDENTICAL AND VERY MUCH OPPOSITES

A HIGH IN LATE 1981 AND A LOW IN MID TO LATE 1982

AND A LOW IN 1998 AND A HIGH IN MID TO LATE 2000

NEXT IM GOING TO FLIP THE 1998 CHART UPSIDE DOWN AND SEE WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE

AGAIN WERE LOOKING FOR SIMILARITIES NOT ABSOLUTE PERFECT PATTERNS

NEXT WE'LL ADD THE ECLIPSE CYCLES AND LINE THEM UP

HERE IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE

ON THE SURFACE ID SAY THERE IS NO CLEAR RELATIONSHIP HERE

LETS TAKE A LOOK AT THE ECLIPSE CYCLES FOR TURNING POINTS

MAYBE THERE IS AT LEAST SOME GOOD TRADES WITH IN THE MESS

REFRESHER ON THE THEORY :

LUNAR ECLIPSES

1981-1983 AND 1999-2001

LETS TAKE THIS FURTHER IN TIME

SOLAR ECLIPSE

1981-1983 AND 1999-2001

FULL MOONS FROM 1999-2001

BY NOW IF YOUR LIKE ME YOUR WAY BAFFLED . SO COME BACK ONCE YOUR BRAIN IS REFRESHED .

I KNOW THAT 1982 WAS A MAJOR BOTTOM THAT IS HISTORY AND I ALSO KNOW 2000 WAS A TOP

BUT HOW COME THESE WERE THE SAME SAROS CYCLES AND HOW COME WE GOT OPPOSITE REACTIONS

I DON'T KNOW THE TRUTH TO THIS AND IM NOT EVEN GOING TO TRY AND EXPLAIN IT . I DO KNOW THAT

THE 1929 AND 2001 CYCLES ARE RELATED HENCE 1927 TO 1929 IN RELATED TO 1981-1983 AS WELL AS 1999 2001

IN 1929 THE MKT FELL HARD FROM A SEPT PEAK IN 1983 THE MKT PEAKED IN MID OCTOBER . AND IN SEPT 2001

THE MARKET BOTTOMED . NOT THE ABSOLUTE LOW BUT A SIMILAR STYLE CRASH ENDED AS IN 1929 .

LETS LOOK AT A 1929 CHART SHOWING THIS YET SINCE I DON'T HAVE THE DATA IM BORROWING THE WORK

FROM CALENDAR RESEARCH .

HIS COMPARISON IS THE 1929 TO 1987 CRASH . I DON'T AGREE WITH HIS ANALOGY FROM THE ECLIPSE CYCLES

YET HIS ARGUMENT RELATING TO THE MOON CYCLES CANNOT BE IGNORED .

HERE IS THE 2001 DROP FOR A COMPARISON

IM USING A DAILY CHART OF THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVER HERE WITH THE SAME SOLAR / LUNAR CYCLES WITH

THE FULL MOONS .

SOLAR ECLIPSE JUNE 21 2001

FULL MOON / LUNAR ECLIPSE JULY 5TH

FULL MOON 6 WEEKS FROM JUNE 21 SOLAR ECLIPSE IS AUG 4TH

THIS THEORY FAILED TO CATCH THIS MOVE DOWN , YES YOU WOULD HAVE PROFITED BUT USING THIS THEORY

ALONE YOU WOULD HAVE MISSED THE CRASH , HENCE THIS IS NOT A 100 PERCENT THEORY AT ALL .

WHAT ELSE DO WE NEED TO ADD TO THIS ?????

THE NEXT CYCLE IS NOT TILL 2002 ( DEC 2001 ) MORE ON THAT LATER

LETS LOOK AT CALENDAR RESEARCH AND SEE IF WE WOULD HAVE BEEN ABLE TO USE ANY OF THIS

AS AT THE MOMENT IM BEGINNING TO THINK THIS IS ALL A FAILURE OR AT BEST A TOOL TO BE LOOKED AT

YET NOT TO BE COMPLETELY 100 PERCENT TRUSTED

THE BASICS OF CALENDAR RESEARCH THEORY IS THIS :

YOU TAKE THE FIRST NEW MOON FOLLOWING THE SPRING EQUINOX AND YOU LABEL THAT MOON AS MONTH 1 DAY 1 .

EACH NEW MOON THAT FOLLOWS IS LABELED 2-1 ,3-1 ECT... THE TURN DATES THAT YOU LOOK FOR FALL ON THESE DATES

2ND MOON 23RD DAY ( 2-23 ) 6-1, 7-10 AND 7-27, 7-28 ( 8-1 MINUS 55 HOURS )

THESE ARE KNOWN AS THE :

SPRING LOW 2-23

SUMMER HIGH 6-1

AUTUMN HIGH 7-10

CRASH 7-27, 7-28 ( 8-1 MINUS 55 HOURS )

SO LETS LOOK AT 2001 AGAIN

HERE IS THE LINK

SPRING EQUINOX

IN 2001 THE SPRING EQUINOX WAS ON MARCH 7TH . THE FIRST NEW MOON FROM MARCH 7TH IS MARCH 25TH ( 1-1 )

THE SECOND MOON WOULD THEN BE APRIL 23RD PLUS 23 DAYS

SPRING LOW : = MAY 16 2001 ( 2-23 )

SUMMER HIGH = AUG 19TH 2001 ( 6-1 )

AUTUMN HIGH = SEPT 27TH ( 7-10 )

CRASH = OCT 15TH 7-27/7-28

IT DON'T LOOK GOOD HERE . I WILL ADMIT A FEW THINGS TO GIVE CALANDER RESEARCH SOME CREDIT

HE STATES THAT TYPICALLY A FULL MOON IN THE FIRST WEEK OF OCT IS BEARISH AND WITH OUT THAT FULL MOON

THE MKT TEND TO BE UP IN OCTOBER , HE ALSO STATES THAT THIS IS A 58 YR TREND . HENCE 2001 IS 59 YRS FROM 1929 .

THE POINT IS THIS . THESE ARE SUPPOSED TO BE THEORIES THAT CATCH THE RARE MKT CRASHES . YET AS WERE SEEING

THEY ARE NOT ACCURATE WHEN TAKEN ON FACE VALUE .

LETS LOOK AT THE 2001 DAILY DOW CHART AGAIN AND APPLY THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA ALONG WITH THE PUETZ

WINDOW

IN THIS EXAMPLE FOR 2001 I WOULD HAVE TO SAY BOTH THESE THEORIES FAILED BY A LARGE SCALE. NEITHER ONE OF THESE

THEORIES HELD ANY WATER IN 2001 . WHILE WE COULD EXPLAIN AWAY SOME OF THIS . WE COULD SAY THEY THE SPRING

LOW HAVING MARKED THE TOP WAS A SIGN , OR THAT THE SUMMER HIGH DID MARK THE HIGH . YET TAKEN AS A WHOLE

BOTH THEORIES FAILED . IN HINDSIGHT THE BEST WE COULD HAVE DONE IS TAKEN THE CRASH DATE ON OCT 15TH 2001

AND TURNED BULLISH , OR TURNED BULLISH AT THE AUTUMN HIGH DATE AS IT TURNED OUT TO BE THE AUTUMN LOW .

SO THIS THEORY WOULD HAVE TURNED US BULLISH NOT BEARISH ON SEPT 27TH RIGHT NEAR THE BOTTOM AND WE WOULD

HAVE TURNED BULLISH AGAIN ON OCT 15TH . THIS INFORMATION IS HELPFUL YET WE NEED TO BE OPEN MINDED

AS THE TURN DATES ARE SPECIFIC AND DON'T CHANGE YET THE MARKET IS THE MARKET . IF THE MARKET IS OVERSOLD

OR ALREADY COLLAPSED WE ARE BETTER SERVED TO KEEP AN OPEN EYE TO THESE DATES AS MARKET TURNS IN BOTH DIRECTIONS

DO NOT GET FOOLED BY THINKING IT IS ALWAYS BEARISH .

LETS LOOK AT 2000 AS IT IS THE 58 YEAR CYCLE UNDER CALENDAR RESEARCH . LETS TEST IT

AND USE THE PUETZ WINDOW ALSO .

WE ALREADY HAVE ALL THE DATA . JUST NEED TO ORGANIZE IT .

PUETZ WINDOW FOR 2000

SOLAR ECLIPSE THERE WERE 4 IN 2000 WHICH IS THE ONES WE USE ???

REFRESHER AGAIN FOR THE THEORY

SOLAR ECLIPSES THAT FIT THE THEORY FEB 5TH ?? DOESN'T WORK JULY 1ST YES JULY 31 NO

FULL MOON LUNAR ECLIPSE JAN 21ST AND JULY 16TH

6 WEEKS FROM SOLAR ECLIPSE

6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER

CALENDAR RESEARCH THEORY

SPRING LOW 2-23 APRIL 27TH 2000

SUMMER HIGH 6-1 JULY 31 2000

AUTUMN HIGH 7-10 SEPT 8TH 2000

CRASH SEPT 28TH = 7-27, 7-28 ( 8-1 MINUS 55 HOURS )

SPRING EQUINOX WAS MARCH 7TH 2000 APRIL 4TH IS 2-1 PLUS 23 DAYS

SO LETS SE HOW IT LOOKS

I DON'T WISH TO BASH THESE GUYS WORK , MY ONLY REASON FOR THIS IS TO SEE THE VALIDITY OF IT .

IN 2000 THE GREAT 58 YR MOON CYCLE FAILED TO MISS THE EXTENSION DOWN . THE PUETZ WINDOW

ALSO FAILED , YET WE CAN SEE THE OVERALL CALENDAR RESEARCH THEORY AS A MARKET TURN

THEORY DID OK YET THEY BOTH FAILED OVER ALL AS THEY MISSED THE EXTENSION DOWN .

KEEP THIS IN MIND ACCORDING TO CALENDAR RESEARCH THIS ONLY HAPPENS ONCE EVERY 58 YEARS

WE DID NOT GET ANYTHING CLOSE TO A 1929 CRASH IN 2000 . IM NOT GOING TO SHOW NASDAQ

TO MAKE IT LOOK BETTER . ONLY GOING WITH THIS .

HAVE I GIVEN UP ??? FAR FROM IT .

BEFORE I LOOK AT 1999 AND THE 1981 TO 1983 TIME FRAMES .

WHAT CONSTANCIES TO WE SEE ??

SOLAR ECLIPSES MARK THE BEGINNINGS , LUNAR ECLIPSES MARK THE REVERSALS . IN THE CASE OF 2000

WE GOT A DOUBLE REVERSAL . OR DOUBLE BEGINNING SO TO SPEAK

BOTH THEORIES TEND TO MARK TURNING POINTS YET NEITHER CAUGHT THE DROP IN 2000 OR 2001

HAD WE USED BOTH THEORIES IN 2000 WE COULD HAVE DONE WELL IN THE MARKET YET KNOWING WHERE

THE AUTUMN HIGH DATE WAS WOULD HAVE HAD TO BEEN ANTICIPATED, ALSO WE WOULD HAVE

HAD TO UNDERSTOOD THE NATURE OF THE TRIANGLE PATTERN UNDER ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY ,

WE WOULD HAVE TURNED BULLISH ON THE SOLAR ECLIPSE ON JULY 31ST AND WE WOULD HAVE BEEN LOOKING

EXIT SOMEWHERE FROM AUG 15TH TO SEPT 8TH . AND HAVING TURNED BEARISH ON SPET 8TH HAD WE UNDER

STOOD THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN WE WOULD HAVE COVERED OUR SHORTS ON SEPT 27TH

ONLY TO HAVE RE SHORTED ON THE BREAK OF THE NECKLINE . IN SHORT USING TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IS STILL

VERY IMPORTANT TO ALL OF THIS , YET IM NOT GOING TO GO TO DEEP ON THAT JUST YET .

1999

SOLAR ECLIPSE DATES

FEB 16

AUG 11

LUNAR ECLIPSE DATES

JAN 31

JULY 28

PUETZ WINDOW REFRESHER

THESE DATE ARE NOT WITH IN THE PARAMETERS , WE DO NOT HAVE A LUNAR ECLIPSE FOLLOWING A SOLAR ECLIPSE

WE HAVE THE OPPOSITE . IS IT TRADABLE ???? LETS SEE

FIST LETS GET CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA

SPRING EQUINOX : MARCH 17 TH 1999 =1-1

SPRING LOW 2-23 MAY 2ND 1999

SUMMER HIGH 6-1 AUG 11 1999

AUTUMN HIGH 7-10 SEPT 19

CRASH OCT 7TH 1999 = 7-27, 7-28 ( 8-1 MINUS 55 HOURS )

WITH THE PUETZ WINDOW OUT OF PARAMETER IN THIS YEAR WE PLOT THEM ONLY TO SEE IF THERE IS ANY VALIDITY

TO THEM AND TAKE IT AS JUST INFORMATION .

I WANT TO SEE IF WE STILL GET A BEGINNING ON A SOLAR ECLIPSE AND A REVERSAL ON A LUNAR ECLIPSE .

AS FOR THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA WE ARE LOOKING TO SEE IF ANYTHING VALID APPEARS FOR MARKET TURNS

ALSO WE WANT TO SEE IF THERE IS ANY CORRELATION TO THE ECLIPSE DATES AND THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATES

IN SIMPLE TERMS DO THESE THEORIES WORK TOGETHER OR FIGHT EACH OTHER IN THIS YEAR .

OK SO HERE IS 1999 . ANYTHING GAINED BY THIS . ????

FIRST OFF ID SAY THE PUETZ WINDOW DO OK EVEN IF THE PARAMETERS WERE NOT MET

THE SOLAR ECLIPSES APPEAR TO HAVE MORE POWERFUL MOVES THEN LUNAR ECLIPSES

YET BOTH DO TEND TO MARK REVERSALS IN THE MARKET

THE AUTUMN HIGH ON THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA FOR THE 3 YRS COVERED SEEMS MEANINGFUL FOR MARKING

BOTH TOPS AND BOTTOMS

WHAT IS EVEN MORE INTERESTING IS THE POSITION OF THE MOON AT MARKET TURNS .

NONE OF THIS THOUGH APPEARS TO BE VERY ACCURATE AT CATCH A CRASH .

LETS GO TO 1987 AND TAKE A GOOD LOOK AT THE CRASH AND SEE IF THERE IS ANYTHING USEFUL

WE CAN LEARN . IM NOT INTERESTED IN 1981 OR 82 OR 83 AT THIS POINT

MAYBE THIS IS ALL A WASTE OF TIME ?????

IN 1987 UNDER CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA WE WANT THESE DATES

SPRING EQUINOX MARCH 8TH 1ST NEW MOON FOLLOWING IS MARCH 29 = 1-1

SPRING LOW 2-23= MAY 21 1987

SUMMER HIGH 6-1 = AUG 24TH 1987

AUTUMN HIGH 7-10 =OCT 3RD

CRASH OCT 20 21 = 7-27, 7-28 ( 8-1 MINUS 55 HOURS )

PUETZ WINDOW DATA

SOLAR ECLIPSE DATES

LUNAR ECLIPSE DATES

FULL MOONS

PUETZ WINDOW REFRESHER

I HAVE MORE DATA SHOWN HERE THEN IN 1987 AS THIS IS FOR FURTHER NOTES TO COME

I HAVE CONCLUDED THAT THESE CYCLES ONLY WORK PERFECTLY VERY RARELY YET I AM STILL GETTING TO THE HEART

OF THIS STUDY . IF YOUR NOT WILLING TO UNDERSTAND THE FAILURES THEN HOW CAN WE LEARN TO UNDERSTAND

THE SUCCESSES . EVERYBODY WANTS PERFECTION OR THE FORECAST I WANT THE KNOWLEDGE AND I WANT TO KNOW

WHEN SOMETHING WORKS OR IS ABOUT TO FAIL AND SINCE THIS IS A RARE EVENT TO EVEN CONSIDER CALLING

I WANT YOU ALL TO KNOW THE RISKS AS WE HAVE SEEN THIS STUFF HAS NOT PRODUCED VERY GOOD RESULTS OVER

THE YEARS SHOWN ABOVE . SO WITH THE RISKS WELL SHOWN LETS GET INTO THE 1987 CRASH

MARCH 29 1987 SOLAR ECLIPSE NEW MOON ALSO 1-1 MOON ACCORDING TO CALENDAR RESEARCH

APRIL 14TH FULL MOON LUNAR ECLIPSE

6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER A FULL MOON WITH IN 6 WEEKS OF THE MARCH 29 SOLAR ECLIPSE IS

MAY 13TH 1987 ( MAY 21ST IS CALENDAR RESEARCH CALL FOR A SPRING LOW )

SO WE SAY OK MAY 13TH TO MAY 21ST A SPRING LOW ,

BACK TO WEEKLY DOW CHART FOR OUR INITIAL STUDY .

WE WANT TO TURN BEARISH FROM THE FULL MOON LUNAR ECLIPSE APRIL 14 AND COVER FROM MAY 13TH TO MAY 21 1987

FROM THERE WE CAN TURN BULLISH ( YES I KNOW THIS IS HINDSIGHT )

THE MID YEAR TRADE UNDER THE PUETZ THEORY AT BEST WAS A BREAK EVEN .
THIS TURNED OUT TO BE THE PLACE TO TURN BULLISH UNDER THE CALENDAR RESEARCH THEORY

AND THE LATE YEAR PEAK OF COURSE NAILED THE TOP AND CAUGHT THE CRASH

YET IT WAS 2 DAYS LATE , THE CRASH DAY WAS OCT 19TH NOT OCT 20 21 1987 .

UNDER THE PUETZ WINDOW

WE HAD

SEPT 23RD THE SOLAR ECLIPSE MARKED THE BEGINNING OF THE TREND

OCT 7TH LUNAR ECLIPSE WAS THE SURGE DOWN

6 WEEKS FROM THE SEPT 23RD SOLAR ECLIPSE DATE IS NOV 5TH

6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER NOV 5TH IS OCT 30 TO NOV 8TH

WE WOULD HAVE MADE MONEY YET WE WOULD HAVE BEEN BETTER SERVED

GETTING OUT OCT 20TH 21ST . HENCE THE PUETZ WINDOW DIDN'T EVEN CALL THE BOTTOM

IN THE 1987 CRASH YET DID DO REMARKABLY WELL IN CATCH THE TREND

NOTE AUG 24TH WAS NOT A SOLAR ECLIPSE IN 1987 THAT IS A MISTAKE ON THE CHART

HERE IS THE COMPARISON USING THE $NYA INDEX TODAY

WHAT I WANT TO DO NOW IS EXPAND THIS AND USE THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVE .

SINCE THE PUETZ WINDOW HAS SHOWN US A SOMEWHAT POOR PERFORMER

I WANT TO SHOW BOTH CYCLES YET IM ONLY GOING TO FOCUS ON 2005 .

SINCE THERE IS A RECURRING 18 YR CYCLE ON THESE ECLIPSES I FEEL THAT WE SHOULD HAVE

A RECURRING MARKET REACTION . BUT WE KNOW THAT IT IS NOT THE NORM

AT THE VERY LEAST THIS IS ALL JUST SPECULATIVE INFORMATION FOR THE MARKET LATER IN THE YR

WHAT I FIND VERY INTERESTING IS THAT THE MARKET FROM 1985 TO 1988 IS VERY SIMILAR TO 2003

TO TODAY

ANOTHER NOTE . 139 T ON THE 1987 HIGH SHOULD BE 134 A SAME AS OCT 2005 ( MY MISTAKE )

THESE ARE THE SAME ECLIPSE CYCLES .

FIRST OF ALL IM GOING TO SHOW THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA

THIS IS A COPY FROM THE MARKET OUTLOOK PAGE THAT I POSTED IN DECEMBER 2004

THESE ARE THE COMPARISONS OF 1929 1987 AND 2005

I HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THE 1929 COMPARISON FROM THE ECLIPSE CYCLES AS 1929 IS A DIFFERENT CYCLE

BUT THE DATES AND THE MOON CYCLES ARE VERY INTERESTING .

HOW EVER AS SHOWN ABOVE THE ECLIPSE CYCLES FROM 1986 TO 1989 AND 2004 TO 2007 ARE THE SAME

RECURRING 18 YEAR ECLIPSE CYCLE .( CHART LOST WHEN CLEANING WEB SITE )

FIRST OF ALL WE HAVE A PROBLEM WITH THE CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA

MAY 31 TO JUNE 1 2005 DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A SPRING LOW

THE SUMMER HIGH IS DUE SEPT 3RD OR 4TH

AUTUMN HIGH DUE OCT 11TH

AND THE CRASH DAY IS OCT 29TH ( THIS MIGHT BE THE BOTTOM )

I HAVE SEVERAL DATES FROM NOV 5TH TO THE 17TH FOR A LOW THIS YEAR

THE PUETZ WINDOW FOR THIS LATER TIME FRAME IS

SOLAR ECLIPSE

OCTOBER 3RD THE SUMMER HIGH FROM CALENDAR RESEARCH IS SEPT 3RD ( VERY SIMILAR TO 1987 )

LUNAR ECLIPSE

OCT 17 TH AUTUMN HIGH IS OCT 13TH , AGAIN VERY SIMILAR TO 1987

6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER THE FULL MOON WITH IN 6 WEEKS FOLLOWING THE SOLAR ECLIPSE

IS NOV 23RD .

SO WE HAVE A BIT OF A SPREAD AS TO WHERE THE BOTTOM IS

FROM SEPT 3RD 2005 THE MARKET SHOULD HEAD DOWN

A SHORT TERM BOTTOM WOULD DEVELOP ON OCT 3RD AND FROM OCT 11TH TO THE END OF THE MONTH

THE MARKET WOULD CRASH WITH THE BOTTOM ON OCT 19TH TO NOVEMBER 23

FROM NOVEMBER 23RD WE WOULD THEN GET A RALLY INTO MARCH 2006

THIS IS ASSUMING OF COURSE THAT THESE THEORIES COME BACK IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER

AS THEY DID IN 1987 . AS SHOWN ABOVE THE LUNAR AND SOLAR CYCLES APPEAR TO BE ON TRACK

THE KEY HERE IS THAT THE APRIL 20TH AND APRIL 29TH LOWS FOR 2005 HOLD AND THE RALLY FROM

THIS TIME FRAME CONTINUES . A BREAK BELOW THE APRIL LOWS WILL CREATE A BIG FAILURE IN THIS

AND MOST LIKELY WE WILL SEE SOME KIND OF BOTTOM IN SEPT 2005 .

THIS IS ALL FOR NOW ON THE ECLIPSE CYCLES AND CRASH CYCLES

I WILL REVISIT ALL OF THIS AS THE YEAR PROGRESSES .

THE CURRENT RALLY UNDER THE PUETZ WINDOW END

FROM 6 DAYS BEFORE TO 3 DAYS AFTER MAY 23RD

LOOK ABOVE FOR SIMILAR EXTENDED RALLIES

THE ECLIPSE TRADE FOR THE 2005 APRIL LOWS IS NOW OVER

WHAT WE GOT SO FAR IN 2005 LOOKS LIKE MKT TURNS AGAIN . WHAT HAPPENS IF NOV 12TH 16TH

TO DEC 1 IS A TOP ??

NOW WERE INTO 2006 LETS EXPLORE SPRING CRASHES .

IM BORROWING THIS FROM CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA , CLICK ON THE PAGE IF YOU WISH TO READ

MORE ABOUT THIS .

FOR STARTERS WE NEED TO LOOK FOR THE DATES .

THE PUETZ WINDOW DOES NOT WORK FOR 2006 AS THE LUNAR ECLIPSES ARE BEFORE THE

SOLAR ECLIPSES . ( WE'LL GO INTO THAT IN MORE DETAIL FOR OTHER CLUES LATER )

LETS LAY OUT THE BASICS .

IN 2006 UNDER CALENDAR RESEARCH DATA WE WANT THESE DATES

SPRING EQUINOX MARCH 20 2006. 1ST NEW MOON FOLLOWING IS MARCH 29 2006= 1-1

BEFORE I GO FURTHER I WANT TO NOTE MARCH 14TH IS A LUNAR ECLIPSE AND MARCH

29 IS A SOLAR ECLIPSE . HOW OFTEN HAVE WE SEEN THIS IN THE PAST ????? THIS

IS ALSO SOMETHING I INTEND TO RESEARCH THROUGH OUT THIS PAGE .ALSO WE WANT

TO BE AWARE OF THE 3 TO 7 WEEK PERIOD PAST THE MARCH 20 EQUINOX PERIOD

AND THE FULL MOONS IN THAT TIME FRAME . ( MARCH 20TH PLUS 3 WEEKS / FULL MOON APRIL 13

AND 7 WEEKS = MAY 13TH ) I FIND THIS MAY 13TH DATE OF INTEREST AS IT HAPPENS TO LINE UP

WITH MY OTHER CYCLE WORK NOTED IN THE JANUARY 20 TH WEEKLY UPDATE . AT THIS POINT THIS

IS JUST NOTES YET NOW I CAN SEE THERE IS AT LEAST A HISTORICAL REASON TO BE AWARE OF

THIS CYCLE AND ALLOW FOR IT TO BE MEANINGFUL . ILL DIG INTO THIS LATER . SO THIS ADDS TO

MY BEARISH THINKING AT THIS JUNCTURE

( THE CYCLE LOW DATE IS WHAT IM NOTING HERE )

NOW LETS GET BACK TO BASICS .

MARCH 29 IS THE 1ST NEW MOON FOLLOWING THE SPRING EQUINOX 1-1

SO WE COUNT FORWARD TO MOONS AS NOTED IN THIS LITTLE GRAPH BELOW

2ND MOON 23RD- 24TH DAY =MAY 19TH - 20TH ( SPRING LOW ) REMEMBER ABOVE FOR NOTES

6TH MOON 1ST -- 2ND DAY =AUG 23-24TH ( ALSO NOTE CHART ABOVE ) = SUMMER HIGH

7TH MOON 10TH-11THDAY=OCT1-OCT2=AUTUMN HIGH ( ALSO NOTE YOM KIPPUR IS OCT 1 )(ROSH HASHANAH SEPT 22 -7TH MOON 1ST DAY)

8TH MOON 1ST DAY MINUS 55HOURS (ILL FILL THIS IN LATER )ROUGHLY OCT 19TH=CRASH DAY

7TH MOON 27TH-28TH DAY =OCT 18TH-19TH = CRASH DAY

WHAT ELSE DO WE HAVE TO LOOK FOR ??

THERE IS AN ODDBALL RARE CRASH TIME FRAME OF 6-27 / 6-28

THIS IS ALSO A LINK

I AM USING THIS FROM CALENDAR RESEARCH PAGE

CLICK THIS PAGE FOR THE REFERENCE

SO LETS MAKE A NOTE OF THIS DATE ALSO .

WE HAVE 6-1 ABOVE WHICH IS AUG 23RD SO COUNTING 27 AND 28 CALENDAR DAYS FORWARD WE GET

SEPT 12 AND SEPT 13 ( THIS MIGHT BE ONLY SOMETHING THAT HAPPENED ONCE 133 YEARS AGO )

YET IT ALL SHOULD BE INCLUDED AS WE DIG FURTHER INTO EVERYTHING .SO NOW WHAT DO WE HAVE

MAY 19TH - 20TH ( SPRING LOW ) REMEMBER ABOVE FOR NOTES

AUG 23-24TH ( ALSO NOTE CHART ABOVE ) = SUMMER HIGH

SEPT 12TH -13TH POSSIBLE CRASH DAY .

OCT1-OCT2=AUTUMN HIGH ( ALSO NOTE YOM KIPPUR IS OCT 1 )(ROSH HASHANAH SEPT 22 -7TH MOON 1ST DAY)

7TH MOON 27TH-28TH DAY =OCT 18TH-19TH = CRASH DAY

NOW JUST LOOKING AT ALL OF THIS FOR MARKET TURN DATES WE GET THE BASICS

THESE ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT TURN DATES FOR 2006

SOLAR ECLIPSE FOR COMPARISONS

IN ORDER TO UNDERSTAND THIS I THINK WE NEED TO LOOK DEEPER FOR

MORE CLUES . FOR STARTERS THERE IS POLARITY DIFFERENCES TO LOOK AT

WHAT APPEARS SIMILAR MIGHT NOT BE .

SECONDLY THE LONGITUDES ARE DIFFERENT

2005 WAS 119 W VERSUS 2 W IN 1987 ( MARCH/APRIL ) 117 degree's difference

AND 28 E VERSUS 138 E IN SEPT/OCT COMPARISON

ALSO THE 2005 / 1987 WAS SIMILAR OVER ALL YET THE 2006/1988 SHOWS A DIFFERENT PICTURE

1) NOTE 1987 DATES AND 2006 DATES

2) NOTE 2006 LONG TO 1988 LONG, ,march ( 140 E ,versus 16.7 E = 123.3 degree diff )

2005/1987 117-119 DIFFERENCE ( LONG )

2006/1988 sept , ( 94.4 E versus 9.1 W = 103.5 diff )

FURTHER MORE IT APPEARS THAT 2006 IS A POLAR AND LONGITUDINAL OPPOSITE TO 2005

march 2006 16.7 E , April 2005 , 119 W = 135.7 diff, march 29, 2006 23.2 N , April 8, 2005 10.6 S

sept 2006, 9.1 W , oct 2005 , 28.7 E = 37.8 diff sept 22 2006 20.7 S , oct 3,2005 12.9 N

march 29 06 23.2 N- 16.7 E

march 18 88 20.7 N- 140 E

2.5 D-123.3

march 29 87 12.3 S- 2.3 W

April 8 05 10.6 S 119 W

1.7 D 116.7

TECHNICAL QUESTION IS HOW IS LAT FIGURED BY THIS TABLE ????? ( ABOVE )

PERPETUAL ALMANAC DATA

march 29 06 SUN 3.142 N 178.458

march 18 88 SUN 0.570 S 177.57

THERE MUST BE AN APPARENT T0 THE ECLIPSE AND THAT APPARENT MIGHT BE THE KEY ??

THERE IS MORE RESEARCH NEEDED ( TRIANGULATION )

ADD UP AND RE WRITE ONCE CONFIGURED

TO BE CONTINUED

LUNAR

RELATING TO THE NASDAQ 100 THE PATTERN AS OF EARLY AUGUST 2006 LOOKS LIKE THIS

ALMOST THE IDENTICAL OPPOSITE TO 1988

2007

2007 Mar 03: Total Lunar Eclipse
2007 Mar 19: Partial Solar Eclipse
2007 Aug 28: Total Lunar Eclipse
2007 Sep 11: Partial Solar Eclipse

LOOK UP MARCH 27 .

OVERALL LAID OUT FOR REFERENCE 2007

DOW CLOSE RED LINE NOV 13TH 2006.

NOTE JAN 16TH NDX TOPPED AND JAN 31 ( AS OF TODAY SPX AND DOW HIGH'S )

MOON PHASES 2007 2008

2010

CALENDAR RESEARCH THEORY DATES

PUETZ WINDOW NOT IN EFFECT THIS YEAR .

JULY 11 HAS SOME SIMILARITY TO JAN 15TH

NOV 7TH IS A SEASONAL LOW IN THE STOCK MARKET

CORRELATIONS TO 2010 SHORT TERM TIMING MODEL

2011

SOLAR CYCLES

DOW 1975

NOT VERY GOOD CORRELATION . MAY 2011 FITS BETTER WHERE DEC 2012 DATE IS NOTED

STUFF FOR LATER

CYCLES

2014-2015

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